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`Walking the Plank' or `Jumping Ship?'
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Telling
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`Walking the Plank' or 'Jumping Ship?'
Today eardleyfactor takes a look at the possible implications of the widespread resignations of crew members who have either 'walked the plank' or 'jumped ship' from the Bush administration during the past year. The list is impressive. Indeed, it is hard to believe that the political ship of state can long remain afloat without major repairs and a change of direction. Just what is going on in Washington? Perhaps we will not have long to wait before we see the Bush fight back. However, let's begin at the beginning.
The process began with the removal of Donald Rumsfeld last November, closely followed by John Bolton. Harriet Myers was next to go and not too long afterwards Peter McNulty and Dan Bartlett.
General Peter Pace, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, visibly shaken, was forced to walk the plank in June this year and even Karl Rove, architect of Republican success and reportedly 'joined at the hip' to the Bush family, was not immune to the blood-letting and departed in August. Alberto Gonzales is the latest sacrificial lamb and even Gen. Petraeus is under fire from both sides of the house.
The War in Iraq and alleged wrongdoing are cited as the reasons for these staggering losses. In any 'normal' organization serious questions would be asked about the CEO and his Deputy. Bush and Cheney are under pressure it is true and despite rumblings about impeachment they seem likely to stay the course. It is difficult to recall in my living memory at least, a year of the 'long knives' such as this.
Is all lost for Captain Bush, or can he still snatch victory from the jaws of defeat? Is there one last major twist to the story of this administration? Despite the bleak outlook 'eardleyfactor' believes that this is a distinct possibility. Let's see why.
We currently have a major diversion in the demise of the 'Sub-prime' mortgage lenders. The financial markets are in disarray world wide. The Middle Classes are starting to hurt and huge increases in property taxes are adding to the problem. The dollar is under pressure and interest rates must come down to stimulate the ailing housing market This will weaken the dollar still more. John Doe has things on his mind besides the War in Iraq and he's worried about money. When people worry about money and the roof over their head, governments better take notice. Something very dramatic is called for.
History teaches us that when an administration is in big trouble it seeks a scapegoat. Mrs. Thatcher was loathed in 1982 for bringing about unemployment and social unrest. What did she do? Why, she went to war of course, with Argentina over a bunch of islands in the South Atlantic, The Falklands. The war was a triumph and Maggie's popularity soared.
Bush, we predict, may well do the same.
Who has noticed the quiet friendship developing between France and the US? The new French President Sarkozy seems to get along with G.W. Bush and only a couple of days ago the French Foreign Minister was talking about possible war against Iran to prevent that country developing Nuclear weapons. Gordon Brown, UK Prime Minister, may be forced to think again about being close to Bush. He would hate it if Sarkozy became the new Tony Blair.
If Bush can get the French on board the rest of the EU may follow. A pretext for war may be found, Iran will have its capability crippled, leading to regime change there and some kind of victory squeezed from Iraq. History will treat Bush kindly and the Republicans will have a decent shot at winning the 2008 election.
The other option may well present itself with another 9/11 type attack, God forbid! Should this scenario occur the nation will likely back any appropriate action the President would recommend. Democrats are not seen as' war winners' and the Republicans have a strong hand of leaders holding winning track records. Senators Clinton and Obama are hardly likely to inspire on the battlefield.
As usual, 'events' will determine the future of our country. However,
just how many, if any, of these events will occur remains to be seen.
One thing is certain. If Bush is to avoid leaving office as a complete
disaster, there is very little time remaining for him to save his Presidency.
The next little while may well prove to be more 'interesting' than we
could ever have imagined!
Robert Jack Eardley, M.D.
Robert Francis Eardley, Cert. Ed., B.A.
3366 Commodore Drive
e-mail: robertfrancis@eardley.org
Lexington, Kentucky 40502-3602
(859) 229-7714
For those interested e-mail
inquiry@eardleyfactor.com
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robertjack@eardley.org